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A potentially hazardous near-Earth asteroid is spinning faster and faster every year, and researchers aren’t sure why.
The space rock, known as 3200 Phaethon, is around 3.4 miles (5.4 kilometers) wide, and its orbit through the solar system takes it closer to the sun than any other named asteroid, reaching a minimum distance of around 13 million miles (20.9 million km) from the sun — less than half the distance from Mercury to the sun. During Phaethon’s orbit around the sun, which lasts for around 524 days, the space rock travels close enough to Earth to be considered “potentially hazardous.” But the closest Phaethon has ever come to our planet was in 2017 when it passed by around 6.4 million miles (10.3 million km) from Earth, or around 27 times farther away than the moon. The asteroid’s dusty trail is responsible for the Geminids meteor shower, which peaks in early December every year and is visible across the globe.
On Oct. 7, a group of researchers presenting at this year’s American Astronomical Society’s Division for Planetary Sciences conference (opens in new tab) revealed that Phaethon has an accelerating spin. The space rock takes around 3.6 hours for one full rotation. But every year, that spin gets around 4 milliseconds shorter, researchers said. This may not sound like much, but over thousands or millions of years the change could alter the asteroid’s orbit, the team added.
Related: Could an asteroid destroy Earth?
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Astronomers first detected Phaethon in 1983 and have been tracking its orbit ever since using light curves — observations of an object’s brightness over time that show how it rotates — and radio telescopes, as well as occasional stellar occultations, when the asteroid blocks out the light from a distant star. As a result, Phaethon has one of the most well-known orbital pathways of any asteroid in the solar system, the researchers said in a statement (opens in new tab).
Using the decades-old dataset, the new team attempted to simulate the size, shape and rotational properties of Phaethon in greater detail than ever before.
The team found that the near-Earth asteroid is shaped like a spinning top, meaning it is somewhat rounded with a bulge around its equator. This shape is common among large asteroids, such as 162173 Ryugu, which, in 2018, became the first asteroid to be landed on by a spacecraft, when the Japanese space agency (JAXA) mounted the space rock with a probe and successfully snagged precious samples from it.
However, when the researchers started analyzing Phaethon’s rotation, they found that something didn’t add up.
“The predictions from the shape model did not match the data,” lead researcher Sean Marshall (opens in new tab), an astronomer at the U.S. National Science Foundation’s Arecibo Observatory in Puerto Rico, said in the statement. “The times when the model was brightest were clearly out of sync with the times when Phaethon was actually observed to be brightest.” After re-analyzing the data, the researchers concluded the only explanation was that Phaethon’s spin was increasing year-on-year, Marshall added.
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It is very uncommon for an asteroid’s spins to change. Phaethon is only the 11th asteroid that has been observed with an accelerating spin, according to the statement. For context, there are more than 1.1 million known asteroids, according to NASA (opens in new tab).
Phaethon is also unusual in other ways. First, it has a comet-like tail made up of bits of rubble that break off from its rocky surface. These rocky bits produce the spectacular Geminids meteor shower, which is one of only two known meteor showers that are caused by asteroids and not comets. Second, the sunlight reflected off Phaethon has a blueish hue, which is similar to most comets but almost unheard of among asteroids. As a result, Phaethon is often nicknamed the “rocky comet” by astronomers, according to the statement.
It is unclear exactly why Phaethon’s spin is accelerating. The asteroid’s comet-like tail means its mass is gradually decreasing, but this does not necessarily mean its spin will change as a result. However, researchers think that the asteroid’s unusual tail is the result of its surface getting superheated as it zooms close to the sun. Therefore, the most likely explanation is that the asteroid’s surface is getting battered by solar radiation, which is altering its spin — this is known as a Yarkovsky-O’Keefe-Radzievskii-Paddack effect, Science Alert (opens in new tab) reported. But that theory is hard to prove with the available data.
Due to Phaethon’s unusual properties, JAXA has chosen the near-Earth space rock as the target for one of its next asteroid missions. In 2024, the DESTINY+ mission will launch a spacecraft that will eventually fly by Phaethon in 2028, according to the statement.
JAXA’s mission scientists will likely find the new discovery of Phaethon’s accelerating spin very helpful, researchers said.
“This is good news for the DESTINY+ team,” Marshall said. “A steady change means that Phaethon’s orientation at the time of the spacecraft’s flyby can be predicted accurately.” For example, scientists will be able to determine which side of the asteroid will be illuminated by the sun when the spacecraft arrives, which will help them to decide which areas to target for their studies, he added.